Grumpy about overly-simplistic polling

Tuesday, March 17th, 2026 11:27 am[personal profile] andrewducker
andrewducker: (Default)

I do wish that polls wouldn't ask if people thought that the PM was handling something "Well" or "Badly". Because two people answering "Badly" might mean completely different things by it.

Also, me saying "Immigration is important to me" means the opposite of what a Reform voter would mean by it.

This because of reporting of how many people think that Starmer is handling the Iran situation well or badly. When I can guarantee that some of the "badly" think we should be bombing Iran right now, and some think that we shouldn't be involved even slightly.

Day 1882: “We don’t need anybody.”

Monday, March 16th, 2026 04:20 pm[syndicated profile] wtfjht_feed

Posted by Matt Kiser

Day 1882

Today in one sentence: Trump demanded that other countries help reopen the Strait of Hormuz; U.S. allies largely rejected Trump’s demand that they help reopen the Strait of Hormuz; “We don’t need anybody,” Trump said after allies rejected his demand for help opening the Strait of Hormuz; FCC Chair Brendan Carr threatened to revoke broadcasters’ licenses over coverage of the Iran war; a federal judge temporarily blocked the Trump administration from implementing Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s slimmed-down list of recommended childhood vaccines; Trump publicly disclosed Rep. Neal Dunn’s terminal illness, then took credit for saving his life; and in two late-night Truth Social posts, including one that ran about 950 words, Trump attacked the Supreme Court and Judge James Boasberg, and repeated his false claim that the 2020 election was stolen.


1/ Trump demanded that other countries help reopen the Strait of Hormuz, saying he’s asked about seven nations to send warships to protect the waterway that carries about a fifth of traded oil. “It would be nice to have other countries police that with us, and we’ll help. We’ll work with them,” Trump said, later adding: “Whether we get support or not, I can say this, and I said to them: We will remember.” Iran, meanwhile, said the strait is open to all except the U.S. and its allies. Oil prices are up more than 40% as the war entered its 17th day. (Bloomberg / Associated Press / Politico / Wall Street Journal / NPR)

2/ U.S. allies largely rejected Trump’s demand that they help reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Germany, Spain, Italy, Japan, Australia, and others signaled they wouldn’t send ships into the conflict. Germany said “This is not our war, we have not started it,” adding that the conflict “has nothing to do with NATO,” Spain said it would “never accept” stopgap military measures and insisted “the objective must be for the war to end,” while Italy said “diplomacy needs to prevail” and warned that sending ships into a war zone would mean entering the war. Japan said it had “not made any decisions whatsoever” on whether to send ships to the strait, while Australia said it was “not something that we’ve been asked or that we’re contributing to.” Britain, meanwhile, said they would not be “drawn into the wider war.” (NBC News / Bloomberg / Wall Street Journal / New York Times / CNN / Reuters / Politico)

3/ “We don’t need anybody,” Trump said after allies rejected his demand for help opening the Strait of Hormuz. “We’re the strongest nation in the world. We have the strongest military by far in the world,” Trump said. “I’m almost doing it in some cases not because we need them but because I want to find out how they react.” Trump used the rejection to revive his complaints about NATO, saying the U.S. had protected allies “for many, many years” and warning that “we will remember.” He added: “If there’s no response or if it’s a negative response I think it will be very bad for the future of NATO.” (Wall Street Journal / Reuters / New York Times / CNBC / The Guardian / Politico)

  • Trump rejected Iran’s interest in negotiating a ceasefire, saying the war would end “when I feel it in my bones.” He said Tehran wanted a deal, but the terms were “not good enough yet.” Tehran, however, said it wouldn’t discuss a truce until U.S. and Israeli strikes stopped. (NBC News / Reuters / Wall Street Journal / The Hill / HuffPost / Politico)

4/ FCC Chair Brendan Carr threatened to revoke broadcasters’ licenses over coverage of the Iran war, calling news outlets purveyors of “hoaxes and news distortions” and warning them to “correct course” before license renewals. Trump said he was “thrilled” Carr was “looking at the licenses” of some “Highly Unpatriotic ‘News’ Organizations.” The FCC, however, doesn’t license cable networks or newspapers, and media lawyers said revoking local stations’ licenses over news coverage would run into the First Amendment. Meanwhile, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth attacked CNN and other outlets’ reporting on the war, saying “the sooner David Ellison takes over” the network, “the better,” referring to Skydance’s pending deal for CNN’s parent. (New York Times / CNBC / Axios / Politico / Variety / New York Times / Associated Press / New Republic / Bloomberg / CNN)

The 2026 midterms are in 232 days; the 2028 presidential election is in 967 days.


✏️ Notables.

  1. A federal judge temporarily blocked the Trump administration from implementing Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s slimmed-down list of recommended childhood vaccines, finding that the government likely bypassed the CDC’s advisory process and unlawfully remade the panel that sets vaccine recommendations. The order froze the new guidance, which would have dropped routine recommendations for several shots, including influenza, hepatitis A and B, rotavirus, meningococcal disease, and Covid-19 for most children and pregnant women. (Associated Press / Washington Post)

  2. Trump publicly disclosed Rep. Neal Dunn’s terminal illness, then took credit for saving his life. He said the Florida Republican “would be dead by June,” but that after Trump connected him with Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, Dunn had “a new lease on life” and was acting “like he’s 30 years younger,” as Johnson put it. Trump said Dunn had a “heart problem,” adding: “Number one, it was bad because I liked him. Number two, it was bad because I needed his vote.” (Politico / New York Times / Axios / Washington Post)

  3. Trump’s White House chief of staff said she has early-stage breast cancer and will remain in her job while undergoing treatment. Susie Wiles said doctors detected the disease early and that she’s encouraged by a strong prognosis. Trump said “she will be spending virtually full time at the White House, which makes me, as President, very happy!” (Axios / New York Times / Politico / Wall Street Journal / Washington Post)

  4. The Border Patrol official who led the Trump administration’s immigration raids in Los Angeles, Chicago, Charlotte, New Orleans, and Minneapolis will retire after being removed from his national command role in January. Gregory Bovino’s removal followed the fatal shootings of two U.S. citizens, Renee Good and Alex Pretti, during the Minneapolis operation and scrutiny of his tactics. The retirement also comes as Trump replaces Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, who had promoted Bovino. (CBS News / Axios / NBC News)

  5. In two late-night Truth Social posts, including one that ran about 950 words, Trump attacked the Supreme Court and Judge James Boasberg, and repeated his false claim that the 2020 election was stolen. Trump called the Supreme Court “a weaponized and unjust Political Organization” and said it was “hurting our Country.” He also demanded “serious disciplinary action” against Boasberg, calling him “Wacky, Nasty, Crooked, and totally Out of Control,” for blocking Justice Department subpoenas tied to a criminal investigation of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Trump also claimed the court’s tariff ruling left him free to impose duties “in another form,” even though the decision didn’t say he had an “absolute right” to do so. (Democracy Docket / ABC News / Politico / The Guardian / Mediate / New York Magazine)



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Doom Bingo 2026

Monday, March 16th, 2026 06:09 pm[personal profile] mellowtigger
mellowtigger: (roulette)

There were too many doom-and-gloom options for discussion today. I decided to finally create my doom bingo card for this year. I'll still try to use Moody Monday to limit my doomcasts to just one day of the week. Additionally, I'll try to avoid any of the topics on the Doom Bingo card. Instead, I'll just quietly catalog the news headlines of the year. I said last year that I would post a scorecard, judging the accuracy of my predictions. I didn't. I still don't have the mental bandwidth for that much serious evaluation. I still need to do my taxes too.

This doom card practice, however, I judge to be very effective at reducing the proliferation of news about the many terrible things happening everywhere. I left out of the list any mention of Minneapolis/Minnesota federal actions. I fully intend to discuss these very local events as they happen, on whatever day of the week they happen.

Doom Bingo 2026 card

[And isn’t everything risk?] by Gregory Orr

Tuesday, March 17th, 2026 06:51 am[personal profile] conuly
conuly: (Default)
And isn’t everything risk?

The beloved lives
Then dies,
Then (if we’re lucky)
Rises again
Into a poem or song

Or into the world
In some other form
Impossible to predict.

Simplest story, oldest tale:

Sparrows sing it
From every hedge;

And swallows, also,
From their nests on the ledge.


**********


Link

water heater notes

Monday, March 16th, 2026 12:39 am[personal profile] darkoshi
darkoshi: (Default)
Get the same kind and size as the old one; direct vent gas water heater, 40 Gallons.
Make sure the anode rod is easy to access, for replacement purposes.
Get the max available warranty period.
Make sure the gas controller has a COM port; I may want to get this later on:
aquanta water heater wifi controller

Get the cold water shut-off valve replaced.
If possible, have the plumber attach solid copper tubes to the heater, not flexible connectors.
Maybe ask if they can change out the plastic spigot with a metal one since they only seem to come with plastic ones nowadays.

Have them install a drip pan underneath (I can put down extra bricks to keep it off the sand) so I can install a water leak sensor.

They'll probably say they need to install an expansion tank too... will it fit in the current location?

This is the yearly reminder

Sunday, March 15th, 2026 10:07 pm[personal profile] conuly
conuly: (Default)
that the Roman calendar was batshit.

Today is the Ides, okay, and yesterday was pridie Ides, so far so good, and the day before that was three days before the Ides, because the Romans a. counted backwards and b. did this weird inclusive counting, so Friday, Saturday, Ides = three days.

(Which is also how Good Friday is three days before the Resurrection, when it blatantly isn't.)

***************************


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